Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.231478 4.895101 5.595373 6.386182 7.251201 8.165560 9.202017
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.181855 4.086043 5.105921 6.327965 7.738956 9.304059 11.158246
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.476358 3.514950 4.761266 6.334701 8.235938 10.428445 13.116701
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.931160 3.028650 4.426849 6.278950 8.608615 11.385756 14.889070
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.651113 2.824898 4.398082 6.564891 9.377560 12.816213 17.246731
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.351398 2.537268 4.212586 6.611720 9.822296 13.842134 19.123916
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.197033 2.431197 4.252010 6.941444 10.626265 15.323906 21.586910
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.051197 2.310845 4.250154 7.200257 11.331737 16.686401 23.919814
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.895599 2.145442 4.158384 7.314381 11.832289 17.783728 25.926747
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.729358 1.928713 3.960139 7.250736 12.071691 18.530281 27.483645
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.628714 1.812788 3.906075 7.389146 12.588104 19.646741 29.532763
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.545207 1.713329 3.865858 7.539135 13.117166 20.783155 31.619543
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.428705 1.520798 3.650205 7.407100 13.240237 21.381821 33.025212
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.327645 1.333723 3.419970 7.231484 13.285396 21.867676 34.284144
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.258826 1.203322 3.276641 7.184163 13.514452 22.608992 35.896206
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.198995 1.074623 3.118355 7.096458 13.671715 23.245084 37.368393
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.178871 1.057348 3.182084 7.393807 14.433025 24.757099 40.068539
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.143926 0.978357 3.106516 7.437828 14.792781 25.692049 41.976944
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.132769 0.978837 3.201801 7.791848 15.653210 27.367526 44.939397
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.118386 0.961759 3.255510 8.070322 16.396730 28.881178 47.690931
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.098106 0.911314 3.226980 8.192913 16.887860 30.028232 49.937009
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.073321 0.824708 3.101611 8.123623 17.058884 30.699562 51.513446
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060680 0.788075 3.091948 8.273113 17.592645 31.917157 53.878555